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FUTURES  MARKET  TIMING  SIGNALS: ENERGY MARKETS

Last updated 8-5-04

SYM TECH - LT TECH - ST SEAS POWER OI VOLAT
CL: Very toppy Very toppy Peak now in Aug/S. Ahead is bearish Dec/J/F Peaking, on final rally High Rising, not at extreme
Keep very tight stops on longs. Recent downside selloffs have been tradable short-term with tight stops.

HO:

Ditto Ditto Ditto Bearish Very high Ditto
Keep very tight stops on longs.

HU:

Choppy / toppy Choppy / toppy Peak Sep/O is just ahead Peaking & turning bearish High Unc
  Stand aside.

NG:

Choppy / sideways Bearish NA Bullish, supportive of rally Avg Unc
  Stand aside.

NOTES:

Energies are currently topping out in peak seasonality. Internal power is weakening. Stand aside or keep very tight stops on longs. The May/June selloff was tradable and any near-term selloff is likely to be as well.
   

LEGEND

TECH - LT: Long-term technical picture, usually based on weekly charts
TECH - ST: Short-term technical picture, usually based on daily charts
POWER: Interpretation of internal market power
OI: Open interest analysis
VOLAT: Volatility analysis
Unc: Unclear